Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1 1/4 per cent

  • Page Views 1161
  • The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 1 1/4 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1 per cent. Recent data have been strong, inflation is close to target, and the economy is operating roughly at capacity. However, uncertainty surrounding the future of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is clouding the economic outlook.

    The global economy continues to strengthen, with growth expected to average 3 1/2 per cent over the projection horizon. Growth in advanced economies is projected to be stronger than in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report(MPR). In particular, there are signs of increasing momentum in the US economy, which will be boosted further by recent tax changes. Global commodity prices are higher, although the benefits to Canada are being diluted by wider spreads between benchmark world and Canadian oil prices.

    In Canada, real GDP growth is expected to slow to 2.2 per cent in 2018 and 1.6 per cent in 2019, following an estimated 3.0 per cent in 2017. Growth is expected to remain above potential through the first quarter of 2018 and then slow to a rate close to potential for the rest of the projection horizon.

    Consumption and residential investment have been stronger than anticipated, reflecting strong employment growth. Business investment has been increasing at a solid pace, and investment intentions remain positive. Exports have been weaker than expected although, apart from cross-border shifts in automotive production, there have been positive signs in most other categories.

    Looking forward, consumption and residential investment are expected to contribute less to growth, given higher interest rates and new mortgage guidelines, while business investment and exports are expected to contribute more. The Bank’s outlook takes into account a small benefit to Canada’s economy from stronger US demand arising from recent tax changes. However, as uncertainty about the future of NAFTA is weighing increasingly on the outlook, the Bank has incorporated into its projection additional negative judgement on business investment and trade.

    The Bank continues to monitor the extent to which strong demand is boosting potential, creating room for more non-inflationary expansion. In this respect, capital investment, firm creation, labour force participation, and hours worked are all showing promising signs. Recent data show that labour market slack is being absorbed more quickly than anticipated. Wages have picked up but are rising by less than would be typical in the absence of labour market slack. banckofcanada.ca

    Share

    New Posts Recently publish post More

    • 21 October 2021
      6 days ago No comment

      Alden Richards continues to scale new heights; renews contract with GMA Network

      A proud Kapuso for over a decade: Alden Richards is a name that needs no introduction. With an impressive thread of local and international recognitions, box-office hits, top-rating series, and chart-topping albums, the Kapuso actor has proven worthy of his title as Asia’s Multimedia Star. Last October 15, Alden ...

    • 21 October 2021
      6 days ago No comment

      ABS-CBN wins Star Awards’ Best TV Station

      ABS-CBN won Best TV Station while its stars and shows also received recognition in the 34th Star Awards for Television held virtually by the Philippine Movie Press Club (PMPC) over the weekend. Among the 24 other winners from the Kapamilya was series Pamilya Ko, which was named Best Primetime ...

    • 21 October 2021
      6 days ago No comment

      Leni-Pacquiao tandem still possible

      Senator Manny Pacquaio has left the door open to stepping aside as a presidential candidate. Pacquaio has indicated that he may be willing to support the presidential bid of current Vice President Leni Robredo in the May 9, 2022 election. Pacquiao said on October 15 that he would be ...

    • 14 October 2021
      2 weeks ago No comment

      3 Steps to getting your BC Vaccine Card

      Related

    • 14 October 2021
      2 weeks ago No comment

      Maria Ressa’s Nobel Peace Prize is an international Rebuke of the Duterte Regime

      The Malaya Movement in Canada congratulates Maria Ressa as co-recipient of the 2021 Nobel Peace Prize. In its announcement, the Nobel Committee cited Ms. Ressa’s efforts to safeguard freedom of expression, which is a precondition for democracy and lasting peace. Ms Ressa …[is] receiving the Peace Prize for [her] ...

    %d bloggers like this: